*TDR never predicts trades
1. Houston Texans – Blake Bortles, QB, UCF – This scenario is picking up steam, and I’ve got a gut feeling that there’s something to it. There’s plenty to like about Bortles’ game, and enough questions about other options at QB to make this pick happen.
2. St. Louis Rams (from WAS) – Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina – I expect the Rams to get out of this pick, especially in a scenario that leaves Bridgewater on the board at this point. However, were they to stay put, Clowney is the best available player and would make the most sense here.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars – Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville – Jags fans thought their chances at Bridgewater died when they missed out on the first overall pick, but it’s still a very real possibility they could end up with him at 3. If he doesn’t go #1, don’t be surprised to see the Jags move up to #2 just to make sure they don’t get leapfrogged.
4. Cleveland Browns – Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M – For the moment, I’m buying the smoke on this one. Cleveland is a franchise desperate for a sharp change in direction and a dynamic presence at QB, so swinging for the fences with college football’s most electric player wouldn’t be a surprise.
5. Oakland Raiders – Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson – With three QBs already off the board, I would expect the Raiders to go elsewhere in this scenario. Watkins is a clear-cut #1 target with explosion and play-making ability to burn. Whoever is the QB for Oakland next year, he’ll be much better with Watkins to throw to.
6. Atlanta Falcons – Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn – A pass rusher is definitely a possibility here, but protecting franchise QB Matt Ryan has to be a top priority. Robinson isn’t as well-rounded a prospect as Jake Matthews, but his upside might cause him to be the first tackle off the board.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M – I expect the Bucs to address the need for a pass rusher in free agency, and though I don’t count them out of taking another one here, starting the rebuilding process on the offensive line is equally important. Matthews is the best overall tackle in this class and would be a great value here.
8. Minnesota Vikings – Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State – This feels a lot like reaching for Christian Ponder, but I’m not sure the Vikings have much of a choice. The play-makers they have on offense are starved for a capable QB, and Carr is the best one left on the board at this point.
9. Buffalo Bills – Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo – The Bills need a threatening edge rusher, and Mack’s stock has been steadily climbing to the point where he has passed Anthony Barr as the next-best pass-rusher available after Clowney.
10. Detroit Lions – Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M – Don’t mistake this for another Matt Millen miss; Evans would force opposing teams to either pay less attention to Calvin Johnson or pay the price for leaving Evans with single coverage on smaller corners.
11. Tennessee Titans – Anthony Barr, OLB/DE, UCLA – After the disappointment of Kam Wimbley last year, the Titans could look to add a young, dynamic pass rusher to a group that struggled to get after the QB last year. Barr would be a solid value at this point.
12. New York Giants – Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama – I think this is a bit of a reach, but the Giants simply have to invest premium picks in rebuilding the offensive line if Eli Manning is to have any hope of returning to top form.
13. St. Louis Rams – Ha’Sean Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama – Offensive tackle is a bigger need, but the value just isn’t there in this scenario, so the Rams take the top safety prospect in this class to shore up a weak unit.
14. Chicago Bears – Ra’Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota – The Bears definitely have concerns in the defensive backfield, but re-signing Tim Jennings was a huge step in the right direction. In this scenario, don’t be surprised to see them target a disruptive force in the middle like Hageman, who I expect to soar into top-15 consideration after the Combine.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers – Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State – With Ike Taylor starting to slow down, it’s time for the Steelers to invest a high pick in a top cover man. Gilbert brings all the physical tools you want in a corner, and would also be an asset in the return game.
16. Baltimore Ravens – Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State – The physical presence of Anquan Boldin was sorely missed by the Ravens this year. This might be a bit high for Benjamin, who is still a pretty raw prospect, but his frame and leaping ability might be too much for the Ozzie Newsome & Co. to pass up.
17. Dallas Cowboys – C.J. Mosley, LB, Alabama – Jerry’s ‘Boys need help at DT, but they also need more overall talent at LB. Mosley is extremely versatile and can impact the game all over the field and in the locker room, as well. He represents an incredible value at this point in the draft.
18. New York Jets – Marqise Lee, WR, USC – The need at WR is so glaring for the Jets that I might take two of them before I do anything else in this draft. Lee isn’t the biggest guy, but his explosion and play-making ability after the catch would give the Jets the dynamic presence they desperately need in the passing game.
19. Miami Dolphins – Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan – It’s imperative that Miami upgrade the OT position if Ryan Tannehill is to develop into the franchise QB they need him to be. Lewan has seen his stock drop a bit since the beginning of the season, but he’s still a solid player who would be an instant upgrade.
20. Arizona Cardinals – Antonio Richardson, OT, Tennessee – The Cards need a young QB, for sure, but there’s just none on the board at this point who are worth this pick. Upgrading at OT might be just as important, and Richardson’s value makes plenty of sense in this scenario.
21. Green Bay Packers – Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina – There are more pressing needs for Green Bay than TE, but Ebron’s value would just be too much to pass up in this scenario. Aaron Rodgers would have another play-maker in the passing game to help alleviate the loss of Jermichael Finley.
22. Philadelphia Eagles – Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville – Safety is a huge need for the Eagles, but thanks to their late playoff run, the Eagles have likely played themselves out of a shot at Clinton-Dix. Pryor, who has seen his stock rise over the past few weeks, might not be a bad consolation prize.
23. Kansas City Chiefs – Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech – Alex Smith could use some more weapons in the passing game, and Amaro is a matchup nightmare who can line up all over the field. Don’t think the presence of Travis Kelce (last year’s 3rd-rounder), who missed most of the season due to injury, would keep them from pulling the trigger on Amaro.
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State – The Bengals are a frustrating case because they don’t have many glaring holes, but they just can’t seem to get to that next level in the playoffs. Depth at corner should be addressed here, as Dennard represents a stellar value as arguably the best man-cover corner in the draft.
25. San Diego Chargers – Jason Verrett, CB, TCU – The Chargers’ situation at corner is much like the Jets’ at WR: they need better corners, and lots of ’em. Verrett is a bit undersized, but he makes up for it with great technique and toughness.
26. Cleveland Browns (from IND) – Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State – After grabbing Manziel with their top pick, the Browns should look to add some more weapons for him to work with in the passing game. Robinson has a great size/speed combo and as explosive after the catch.
27. New Orleans Saints – Trent Murphy, OLB, Stanford – The Saints’ defense has been much improved under Rob Ryan, but an edge rusher like Murphy would be a welcome addition as they continue to retool their personnel for the 3-4.
28. Carolina Panthers – Odell Beckham, Jr., WR, LSU – Steve Smith can’t play forever, so why not go grab a guy who looks a lot like him on film? Beckham doesn’t have the size you want in a #1 WR, but he makes up for it with elite ball skills, fluid routes, and would make an immediate impact in the return game, as well.
29. New England Patriots – Dominique Easley, DE, Florida – The Pats should use this pick in the trenches on either side of the ball. In this scenario, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Belicheck, who loves to draft Gators, to gamble on the rehabbing but extremely versatile Easley.
30. San Francisco 49ers – Jarvis Landry, WR, LSU – The ‘Niners have multiple possession targets who can move the chains consistently, but they need a player who can stretch the field and take pressure off Boldin, Crabtree & Davis. Landry has exceptional ball skills and will benefit from not having to be a #1 target right away.
31. Denver Broncos – Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State – Champ Bailey is in the twilight of his career and there’s not much depth behind him. Roby’s stock has fallen a bit since the beginning of the season, but he’s still one of the best pure cover man in this class.
32. Seattle Seahawks – Jordan Matthews, WR, Vanderbilt – With Percy Harvin’s health still a huge question mark, Russell Wilson could use a reliable target who could become a #1 threat. Matthews has the size and physical tools to be that guy, and he’s a hard-working film rat that should get along great with his QB.
33. Houston Texans – Kyle Van Noy, OLB, BYU
34. Washington Redskins – Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
35. Cleveland Browns – Cyril Richardson, G, Baylor
36. Oakland Raiders – Zach Mettenberger, QB, LSU
37. Atlanta Falcons – Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
38. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
39. Jacksonville Jaguars – Michael Sam, DE, Missouri
40. Minnesota Vikings – Stephon Tuitt, DE, Notre Dame
41. Buffalo Bills – Shayne Skov, LB, Stanford
42. Tennessee Titans – LaMarcus Joyner, CB/S, Florida State
43. New York Giants – Ryan Shazier, LB, Ohio State
44. St. Louis Rams – James Hurst, OT, North Carolina
45. Detroit Lions – Loucheiz Purifoy, CB, Florida
46. Pittsburgh Steelers – Jack Mewhort, OT, Ohio State
47. Dallas Cowboys – Louis Nix, DT, Notre Dame
48. Baltimore Ravens – Billy Turner, OT, North Dakota State
49. New York Jets – Gabe Jackson, G, Mississippi State
50. Miami Dolphins – Carlos Hyde, RB, Ohio State
51. Chicago Bears – Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
52. Arizona Cardinals – A.J. McCarron, QB, Alabama
53. Green Bay Packers – Deone Bucannon, S, Washington State
54. Philadelphia Eagles – Dee Ford, OLB, Auburn
55. Cincinnati Bengals – Davante Adams, WR, Fresno State
56. San Francisco 49ers (from KC) – Will Sutton, DT, Arizona State
57. San Diego Chargers – David Yankey, G, Stanford
58. New Orleans Saints – JuWaun James, OT, Tennessee
59. Indianapolis Colts – Xavier Su’a-Filo, G, UCLA
60. Carolina Panthers – Aaron Colvin, CB, Oklahoma
61. San Francisco 49ers – Andre Hal, CB, Vanderbilt
62. New England Patriots – Zack Martin, G/T, Notre Dam
63. Denver Broncos – Scott Crichton, DE, Oregon State
64. Seattle Seahawks – C.J. Fiedorowicz, TE, Iowa